jase:
Think we definitely stayed true with the
technical discussions aspect of this forum. (c; I won't bother arguing about how good or bad the random generator in CentOS is (the Linux flavor we now use), you can door own research on that (or stick with your current beliefs, up to you!).
Instead I'll point you to what you've all
actually rolled -- all of the die rolls analysed into a table for you at
/info.cgi?action=analysedice. We've been recording them for some time now so you can have fun checking the bias of 6.6 million rolls. Correction... the lack of bias...
The page talks about colouring but you'll see none as everything is so close to the expected.
Enjoy! (c;
Big fan of the site, and I appreciate that you guys track those die rolls. Lots of fun numbers to play with! We need a basis for comparison, though, which until recently has been difficult to find.
My hypothesis is that random number generation used for gaming online typically utilizes cryptography/computer science libraries, and they are TOO RANDOM--moreso than a standard hand-rolled die. This is what skews the rolls from what we expect in a table top game.
For funsies I compared 700 rpol.net die rolls to 700 hand die rolls from the cast of Critical Role during campaign 2 (stats available via
https://critrolestats.com). The numbers revealed that an rpol.net d20 roll is 10% more likely to roll a 2-10 over an 11-19 compared to a human rolled d20.
As your site stats may confirm, the likelihood of rolling any given number is "a fair chance" given total rolls towards infinity. But compounded over time in a limited campaign, the distribution of rolls compared to hand rolled dice means we're 10% more likely to fail at shit. Personally, I find that to be better opportunity for storytelling, as some of our most memorable gaming experiences are when we fail. But it's food for thought regarding random number generators for RPG gaming.
If anyone wants to review my data, it's here:
https://slog.link/ER
This message was last edited by the user at 23:21, Thu 17 Sept 2020.